Limited Scope of Iran Retaliation; Prediction Validated

(CNN) Iranian Mission to the UN: Tehran’s response “has been duly carried out” Quoting,

The Iranian Mission to the United Nations said Tuesday afternoon that Tehran’s response has “been duly carried out,” following a barrage of missiles launched at Israel.

There were no injuries following Iran’s attack on Israel on Tuesday, Israel Defense Forces spokesperson Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari has said.

In Iran’s Options for Retaliation, I wrote:

  • Retaliation comes in two basic varieties, attributable to Iran, and deniable.
  • The scope of attributable is limited by the cost of inevitable retaliation. As an example of the risks, Israel could easily destroy Kharg Island.

The prediction of limited retaliation, well within the capabilities of Israeli air defense, has been provisionally validated.