(CNN) Who was behind the sabotage of France’s railway network? Here’s what we know.
Absent concrete clues, there is a persuasive argument for Russian responsibility:
- Known Russian intent to disrupt the Olympics. See (PBS) French authorities detain Russian man accused of plotting to ‘destabilize’ Olympics.
- Deniability serves Russian goals, failing to provide the adversary with a logical platform for escalation or retaliation.
- The modus serves the known Russian tactic of inducement of societal malaise.
- Synchronization over great distance.
- Freedom to execute at a time of maximum impact. Less sophisticated entities lack undetectable loitering capability.
- Little or no forensic evidence.
- Conformity with other notable successes in industrial sabotage.
Russia’s covert operations in Western Europe have two distinct tracks:
- Low budget, amateurish, espionage.
- High budget, professional industrial sabotage.
The rail attacks exemplify Russian covert expertise.